Box Office Projections: June 4 - 6
1. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $92.6M (????)
2. Shrek 2 - $37M
3. The Day After Tomorrow - $28.2M
4. Raising Helen - $6.7M
5. Troy - $5.7M
6. Mean Girls - $2.9M
7. Soul Plane - $2.8M
8. Van Helsing - $2.3M
9. Man on Fire - $1M
10. Super Size Me - $0.8M
Excuse me if I'd rather wait for the actual Harry Potter weekend numbers before removing the question marks. You see, Warner Bros. appears to be horrible at crunching numbers. First, they announced on Saturday that Potter had made almost $41M opening day. Then earlier on Sunday, they took it down to $38M, while announcing it plunged to $33M for its Saturday gross. Now, if $38M & $33M are the actual Fri & Sat grosses, that means the movie dropped to $21M for Sunday. This is nearly impossible for a family oriented film. Family movies usually increase on Saturday, and drop small on Sunday. But then again, judging from the crowds for the film, little kids seemed non-existant. So, who knows? Wait for Monday to get the real deal on Harry Potter. Nevertheless, another solid weekend for Shrek 2, which now will not only easily dethrone The Passion of the Christ as the year's biggest film, but poses a huge threat to Spider-Man 2 (opening June 30.) Another big weekend lies ahead: Universal's releases its so far greatly received The Chronicles of Riddick, 20th Century Fox's about-to-be widely panned Garfield, and the summer's biggest question mark: Paramount's remake of the 1970's cult classic The Stepford Wives. Fine Line's Saved! also expands to moderate release. My weekend estimates will be announced, as always, on Wednesday.
2. Shrek 2 - $37M
3. The Day After Tomorrow - $28.2M
4. Raising Helen - $6.7M
5. Troy - $5.7M
6. Mean Girls - $2.9M
7. Soul Plane - $2.8M
8. Van Helsing - $2.3M
9. Man on Fire - $1M
10. Super Size Me - $0.8M
Excuse me if I'd rather wait for the actual Harry Potter weekend numbers before removing the question marks. You see, Warner Bros. appears to be horrible at crunching numbers. First, they announced on Saturday that Potter had made almost $41M opening day. Then earlier on Sunday, they took it down to $38M, while announcing it plunged to $33M for its Saturday gross. Now, if $38M & $33M are the actual Fri & Sat grosses, that means the movie dropped to $21M for Sunday. This is nearly impossible for a family oriented film. Family movies usually increase on Saturday, and drop small on Sunday. But then again, judging from the crowds for the film, little kids seemed non-existant. So, who knows? Wait for Monday to get the real deal on Harry Potter. Nevertheless, another solid weekend for Shrek 2, which now will not only easily dethrone The Passion of the Christ as the year's biggest film, but poses a huge threat to Spider-Man 2 (opening June 30.) Another big weekend lies ahead: Universal's releases its so far greatly received The Chronicles of Riddick, 20th Century Fox's about-to-be widely panned Garfield, and the summer's biggest question mark: Paramount's remake of the 1970's cult classic The Stepford Wives. Fine Line's Saved! also expands to moderate release. My weekend estimates will be announced, as always, on Wednesday.
posted by Darren at 2:41 PM
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