Tuesday, January 25, 2005

Accuracy on Predictions

September 29 Predictions:
18/40 (Main* Categories) - 45%

October 26:
24/40 (Main) - 60%

November 29:
27/40 (Main) - 68%
24/47 (Technicals) - 51%

January 1:
29/40 (Main) - 73%
24/44 (Technicals) - 55%

January 22:
33/40 (Main) - 83%
24/44 (Technicals) - 55%

The following appeared in all five of my predictions:

Best Picture: The Aviator & Finding Neverland
Best Director: Martin Scorsese
Best Actor: Jamie Foxx
Best Actress: Imelda Staunton & Kate Winslet
Best Supp. Actor: Clive Owen & Thomas Haden Church
Best Supp. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Laura Linney & Natalie Portman
Best Orig. Screenplay: The Aviator & Eternal Sunshine
Best Adapt. Screenplay: Finding Neverland & Sideways

(The above 8 categories were the *Main categories.)
Bottom Line: I rule.

I didn't make year in advance predictions except for Actress & Supporting Actress. I predicted both Kate Winslet for Eternal Sunshine and Cate Blanchett in The Aviator correctly. Let's face it: Blanchett was this year's Renee Zellweger. As far as the big Oscar failures, I'd say Vanity Fair and Troy were the ones that seemed like shoe-ins March of last year. I never took Alexander seriously, luckily, and that was showered in Razzie noms.

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