Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Box Office Predix - March 2 - 4

1. Wild Hogs - $30m / $30m / $100m
2. Zodiac - $12m / $12m / $33m
3. Ghost Rider - $9.5m / $93m / $114m
4. Bridge to Terabithia - $9m /$58.5m / $82m
5. Black Snake Moan - $7m / $7m / $20m
6. The Number 23 - $6.5m / $25.5m / $38m
7. Norbit - $5m / $81.5m / $92m
8. Reno 911: Miami - $4.5m / $17.5m / $26m
9. Music and Lyrics - $4.5m / $38.5m / $49m
10. Breach - $3.5m / $25.5m / $33m

Monday, February 26, 2007

Complete Oscar Rundown....

What a nice gift for a lesbian fortune teller: a Barbie doll.


+Meryl, Anne and Emily. Probably the funniest non-Ellen moment of the night. The entire costume design presentation was awesome. Although, those Prada and Queen gals looked way too plastic. I loved how the Marie gals softly, demurely applauded.
+Martin Scorsese Finally WINS. And the theatre went nuts. That's probably the happiest I've seen the Kodak ever be for a winner.
+The presentation of all of the technical categories and screenplays was great. In fact, they got more show than the acting nominees. When you think about it, that's a good thing. The first thing they do when they announce the nominees is show baity Oscar clips of all the acting nominees, yet nothing for the writers and designers. Laura Ziskin seems to be the best at doing this.
+Diane Keaton chose not to walk the red carpet, which made her knock my socks off when she walked out to present with Jack. She looked her best in years. Definitely one of the best of the night.
+"It's Goodfellas meets Big Momma's House."
+For the first time in a long time, the best performance of the year won the Oscar. Go Dame Mirren. Though I wish she would've worn her big, I'm-winning-this-shit Emmy dress. Loved that white look! She's bringing sexy back.

+Bald Jack.
+The Dreamgirls musical performance was miles better than the actual film.
+The Al Gore love.
+Ellen. I never thought I'd agree with Regis Philbin, but after the show on E! he said they didn't give her enough to do, which was true.
+The Abigail and Jaden thing was surprisingly tolerable. In fact, it was actually enjoyable.
+Smart move having people like Eva Green, Gael Garcia Bernal, James McAvoy and Jessica Biel present with each other. They aren't quite huge stars. However, I'd say that Daniel Craig and Nicole Kidman could've presented solo.
+No one looked particularly awful. I applaud everyone for taking risks. For most, it payed off.
+The three amigos. All 6 of them. And yes, they ALL should bow before Scorsese.
+Out of the big 8 categories, 4 of them actually deserved it. That's the most in a while. The Departed is such a great Best Picture win giving it's not at all the typical AMPAS fare. The Queen would have been my ultimate preference, but I love both.

+The stupid trivia about the nominees as they walked up to the stage.
+Nicole Kidman said "And the winner is..." Eeek.
+The way they always get the person who presents Animated Feature (Cameron Diaz this year) to tell the animated creatures to stay in the audience. Yes, cause your primary audience for the Oscars is actually retarded.
+Yesterday: Jennifer Hudson won an Oscar. Three weeks from now: obscurity. I'm glad Beyonce realized this was not the Grammy's, but Hudson didn't. I don't ever recall an acting winner at the Oscars thanking God.
+What's the point of having people present who are in an upcoming movie together if you aren't going to even bother mentioning they are in that movie together. (Kidman/Craig have two coming out together.)
+Streep looked bad even for her standards. But she's Meryl. She can do anything she wants.
+Children of Men lost cinematography. I bet it was because of that firecrotch doing the ping pong ball thing with my husband.
+Babel won score. I love Gustavo's scores, but for the most part Babel's music sucked. Especially when he just won last year and Alexandre Desplat doesn't have an Oscar.
+Don't have people present categories where the movie they were in was nominated. I'll forgive Blunt/Hathaway presenting Costumes, but Jack presenting Picture again just felt tacky. They should've let stunning Diane do it alone.

All in all, it was a smooth flowing ceremony that I thought was never dull. And had just the right amount of humor, tears and clips. Though they do need to tighten it up in some ways, it stretched at points. But I hate those who bitch about the length of the ceremony: it's once a year.

Ellen was good, she will be great at it someday. I don't like people hosting 2 years in a row. So a suggestion for next year's host. Steve Martin. He's my favorite. If not available, get Emily, Anne and Meryl. What a hoot that would be!

Ziskin and Degeneres - don't let the negative reviews fool you. You did good.

And now: fun with captions...

Eva Green - It's not just an Oscar dress. It also helps her go shrimp fishing. Oh well, she looks better than she did at the BAFTAs.

John Travolta & Kelly Preston - Tomkat in 15 years.

Penelope Cruz - So excited she was at the Oscars, she stopped and peed. I did like her dress and her hair, but she couldn't pull either off. Something about the shape of her head didn't go with the look she was trying to do.

Nicole Kidman & Abigail Breslin - "I shall destroy you."

Are you there, God? It's me, Naomi Watts.

Mark Wahlberg - he's really come into his own. That's not all he can come into. :-)

Kirsten Dunst as Dakota Fanning. I hate this dress. I love this dress. I hate this dress.

Jennifer Lopez - another look I'm mixed on. But this is a diva pose if there ever was one.

Jennifer Hudson came from the future. Because hers is probably gonna suck.

Gael Garcia Bernal & Diego Luna / James McAvoy - oh, look! My poolboys and gardener have arrived. Their uniform: black bikini briefs

Are you there, God? It's me, Cate Blanchett.

Oh, look, it's my chatty, galpal neighbor! Okay, I liked her look, it wasn't great. She probably should've switched this dress and worn it to the SAGs and worn her SAG dress to the Oscars. But I love Anne. She's adorable. And she told the cutest story about how the confetti came down at the end of the show and she grabbed some and put it in her purse to keep to remember the perfect night. I nearly cried. I want to hug her. And maybe get her a better dress. Then we can talk about Jake Gyllenhaal. He wasn't there, and I'm contractually obligated to mention him. (Maggie was, and looked good.)

Jessica Biel - brought to you by Crayola. (Okay dress, needs a different color, though. She definitely stood out. Looked better at the Globes. You could see her nipples though this dress, so I doubt many are complaining.)

Peter Sarsgaard & Sacha Baron Cohen - stubble is hot.

And finally...

My husband.


(Oh, worst dressed is Sally Kirkland obviously. If you want to, look up her picture from last night. LOL. You'll get a great laugh.)

#10 - CAMERON DIAZ - She always looks interesting. As someone who sees almost everything Cammie D wears, she looks absolutely the best she's looked in a long time. Dropping your man worked for Reese, and it might just work for Cameron.

#9 - RACHEL WEISZ - so much improved from last year. Looked great the Globes, too. Motherhood does a woman good.

#8 - EMILY BLUNT - "Dear Darren, thank you so much for your constant support since the release of The Devil Wears Prada and all throughout award season. I wholeheartedly believe your belief in me helped me get BAFTA and Golden Globe nominations and a Globe win. I hope you like all the movies I have coming out throughout 2007 and the upcoming movie I'll be doing that Martin Scorsese will be producing. Hopefully, you are right and that I get the Oscar very soon. Love, your Bluntcake. PS, thanks for thinking that my Globe dress and overall look that night was the very best of this award season."

#7 - NAOMI WATTS - "Dear Darren, I fucked Heath Ledger, Liev Schreiber and Nicole Kidman. And you did not. But I look fabulous, don't I? And isn't my bump so cute? Yes, I look like Cate Blanchett the night she won the Oscars, but oh well. Tell Angie I said 'Sup!'"

#6 - DIANE KEATON - Somebody call NAAAAAAAAANNNNCY and tell her how good Diane looks. Perfection! Wish I had more pictures.

#5 - CATE BLANCHETT - Always looks good, but a silver goddess tonight.

#4 - KATE WINSLET - Kate trumps Cate this time. This woman knows how to dress.

#3 - RINKO KIKUCHI - The night's biggest disappointment. Disappointing in how horrid she looked everywhere else this year and how INCREDIBLE she looks here. YOWZA!

#2 - REESE WITHERSPOON - I do miss the more curvy Reese of 1999-2001. Her aura here is just incandescent. The hair and deep purple, ugh, if only she looked this good when she was winning everything last year.

#1 - GWYNETH PALTROW - There's as many people who will say this is one of the best as there are saying it is one of the worst. My love/hate relationship with Gwyn continues. For every night like last night, there's a raccoon/trashbag look like 2002's Oscars. This feels so classic Hollywood, yet totally revisionist. UGH, GWYNETH. You made me love you again!!!! She looks like she should be floating on a seashell like the goddess she is.

Anyway, Hollywood, give yourselves a round of applause (another one) you all took risks and even if you stumbled, I still love you all.

Well, it's been a fun award season. But I'm ready to move on. I'll be putting up my complete ranking of the films I've seen in 2006 on Sunday, and after that I'll probably be taking a break. Hope you all enjoyed the Oscars!

Just one more time...

"That's all."

Oscar Winners

Best dressed, full show commentary, etc coming tomorrow.

I gotta say though, this is by far one of the best dressed Oscars in memory. I thought no one looked genuinely bad and even the stuff that was not the best was at least a risk and interesting. Ellen did good. They didn't use her enough, though.

One of the best lines: "Without the blacks, the jews and the gays there wouldn't even be an Oscars. Or anyone named Oscar." That and the "Goodfellas meets Big Momma's House."

And regarding the show, people will always bitch: too long, boring, no good winners, but whatever. I thought this was one of the smoothest Oscars in a long time. I wasn't bored, some stuff could have been trimmed, there weren't any really great speeches, and the human shadow puppets could have been saved for one big montage instead of several ones. But whatever. It was fine.

The Winners:

Best Picture - The Departed
Best Director - Martin Scorsese - The Departed (WAHOO)
Best Actor - Forest Whitaker - The Last King of Scotland
Best Actress - Helen Mirren - The Queen (don't hold your Oscar up like that)
Best Supporting Actor - Alan Arkin - Little Miss Sunshine
Best Supporting Actress - Jennifer Hudson - Dreamgirls
Best Original Screenplay - Little Miss Sunshine
Best Adapted Screenplay - The Departed
Best Editing - The Departed
Best Original Song - "I Need to Wake Up" - An Inconvenient Truth
Best Original Score - Babel
Best Documentary - An Inconvenient Truth
Best Documentary Short - The Blood of Yingzhou District
Best Foreign Language Film - The Lives of Others
Best Visual Effects - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Best Cinematography - Pan's Labyrinth
Best Costume Design - Marie Antoinette (YOWZA!)
Best Animated Feature - Happy Feet
Best Sound Mixing - Dreamgirls
Best Sound Editing - Letters From Iwo Jima
Best Live Action Short - West Bank Story
Best Animated Short - The Danish Poet
Best Makeup - Pan's Labyrinth
Best Art Direction - Pan's Labyrinth

Sunday, February 25, 2007

The next to last award shows: Spirits & Razzies!

The Independent Spirit Awards:

Film - Little Miss Sunshine
Actor - Ryan Gosling - Half Nelson
Actress - Shareeka Epps - Half Nelson
Director - Jonathan Dayton & Valerie Faris - Little Miss Sunshine
Screenplay - Thank You For Smoking
Supporting Actor - Alan Arkin - Little Miss Sunshine
Supporting Actress - Frances McDormand - Friends With Money (!!!!!)
Documentary - Road to Guantanamo
Cinematography - Pan's Labyrinth
Producer's Award - Shortbus
Foreign Film - The Lives of Others
John Cassavetes Award - Quinceanera
First Feature - Sweet Land
First Screenplay - Little Miss Sunshine

The Razzies:

Worst Picture - Basic Instinct 2
Worst Actress - Sharon Stone - BI2
Worst Actor - Marlon and Shawn Wayans - Little Man
Worst Supporting Actress - Carmen Electra - Date Movie & Scary Movie 4
Worst Supporting Actor - M. Night Shyamalan - Lady in the Water
Worst Director - M. Night Shyamalan - LITW
Worst Screen Couple - Wayans Bros & Kerry Washington - Little Man
Worst Remake or Rip-Off - Little Man
Worst Prequel or Sequel - BI2
Worst Screenplay - BI2
Worst Excuse for Family Entertainment - RV

Friday, February 23, 2007


Who doesn't love food? Who doesn't love to drink? Who doesn't love award shows? Why, if you show me this person, you'd be showing me someone I don't want to know.

Anywho, here's what you need:

Your pajamas and some pillows and blankets. It's a long show. Be prepared.

Your movie buds.

A ready-for-fun facial expression ---->

Foods & drinks relating to the nominees:

+Marie Antoinette - cake, champagne, French food
+Babel - anything Mexican, Morrocan or Japanese
+Letters From Iwo Jima - Japanese food
+The Devil Wears Prada - The Deviled Eggs Wear Paprika, squares of cheese, bottled water, Starbucks (seering hot)
+Little Miss Sunshine - ice cream ala mode
+United 93 - wings
+The Departed - cranberry juice, anything from Boston, cheese for the rats
+The Queen - tea, deer meat
+The Illusionist & The Prestige - Trix
+Half Nelson - nacho cheese
+Poseidon - water, seafood
+Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - rum
+The Good German - something that's good and German
and maybe some candy for those Little Children and Children of Men.

Also, do anything Spanish or Mexican!

Oscar Ceremony Details

79th Annual Academy Awards - THE OSCARS

SUNDAY FEBRUARY 25th at 8:30PM Eastern on ABC.

Half hour arrival official arrival special "The Road to Oscar" at 8PM Eastern on ABC.

Red Carpet Coverage on E! and TV Guide Channel 6-8PM Eastern.

Host: Ellen Degeneres

Scheduled Presenters:

Ben Affleck, Gael Garcia Bernal, Jessica Biel, Jack Black, Cate Blanchett, Emily Blunt, Abigail Breslin, Steve Carell, George Clooney, Francis Ford Coppola, Daniel Craig, Tom Cruise, Penelope Cruz, Robert De Niro, Catherine Deneuve, Cameron Diaz, Leonardo Dicaprio, Robert Downey Jr, Kirsten Dunst, Clint Eastwood, Will Ferrell, Jodie Foster, Al Gore, Eva Green, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Tom Hanks, Anne Hathaway, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Hugh Jackman, Diane Keaton, Nicole Kidman, Greg Kinnear, Queen Latifah, Jennifer Lopez, George Lucas, Tobey Maguire, James McAvoy, Helen Mirren, Jack Nicholson, Clive Owen, Gwyneth Paltrow, Jerry Seinfeld, Jaden Christopher Syre Smith, Steven Spielberg, Meryl Streep, John Travolta, Ken Watanabe, Naomi Watts, Rachel Weisz, Kate Winslet and Reese Witherspoon.

Not too shabby?

That's seriously the most presenters I can remember for an Oscar show. Plus, as always, there's a few who won't be announced.

(Special thanks to Laura Ziskin for a truly outstanding, original list. 3 of my suggestions made it: Emily, Clive and Anne.)

Fasten Your Seatbelts, It's Going to Be a Bumpy Night!

I'm in my usual anxious/nervous/excited pre-Oscar night phase. I have dreams: Last night, for instance, I dreamt I got to go to the Kodak at the last minute for the Oscars. I was sitting right in front of some odd television monitors, sitting with friends I have known for some time but haven't hung with in a while, and in walks in front of my very eyes Nicole. She was wearing white, like the dress she wore last year. But her hair was different. And the lips were even more collagen-d than normal. I kind of made a loud nervous sound and shouted Nicole to which she replied with a blush and a smile before taking her seat. Ellen came out, did a joke that killed. Then, I woke up. Wonder what it will be tonight.

I'm curious if Portia De Rossi will be walking the red carpet. I figure she might with Ellen's mom, Betty. I hope so at least.

Among the many things I'm excited for this year is that Laura Ziskin is hosting and her 2002 ceremony was probably the best. It was long. Very long. And according to this article, this year's will be just as long. Probably topping 4 hours. Bring it on. Oh yeah, and the Costume Design Fashion Show is apparently back. BONUS! There's also some kind of secretive, comedic performance with Will Ferrel, John C. Reilly and a few others going to happen. Can't wait.


Oscar beat
An inside view of preps and rehearsals at the Kodak Theater.
By Steve Pond, The Envelope
February 20, 2007

The ballots are in, the campaigns have been waged, and the dresses have presumably been chosen. All that's left now is for some accountants to start counting, for the nominees to write speeches, and for a group of people at Hollywood & Highland to put on a show.

The final week has begun inside the Kodak Theater, where the set has been loaded in and the crew assembled for an intense rehearsal process. So far most of the work has been on the technical side, but that'll soon change.

From Tuesday's rehearsals, a few Kodak moments:

The stars have arrived. Not the flesh-and-blood stars, mind you; they won't start showing up for another couple of days. But on Tuesday morning, the seat cards were placed in the orchestra section of the Kodak, indicating just where all the nominees, presenters and performers will be sitting come Sunday night.

In the past, actors and other high-profile nominees got their pictures on their cards, but nominees in the craft categories did not. But show producer Laura Ziskin wants to shine a spotlight on all the nominees, so she's been has been in touch with all 177 off them, asking for personal information, stories and photos.

As a result, virtually every seat card includes a photo this year, from Meryl Streep in the front row to documentary short nominee Nathaniel Kahn way in the back.

Amusingly, two of the only people who warrant seat cards but aren't pictured are the two top academy officials, president Sid Ganis and executive director Bruce Davis.

The seating arrangement is far from haphazard, but it makes for some unusual juxtapositions: Kirsten Dunst next to Queen Latifah, Will Ferrell alongside Ken Watanabe, Naomi Watts at the end of a row otherwise devoted to "Dreamgirls."

On every seat card but one, incidentally, acting nominees and presenters are pictured not as a character they've played, but as themselves. The only exception: Sacha Baron Cohen, whose card sports a huge, smiling photo of his alter ego, Borat.

Just before lunch, writer Bruce Vilanch walked off the Kodak stage in mock exasperation, exclaiming, "They stole my shower curtain!"

Onstage behind him hung a shimmering crystal curtain, a hugely expensive drape supplied to the academy at no charge by the Swarovski crystal company. The curtain, 34 feet high and hung with double strands of crystals, had been fabricated in Austria and then strung in the United States, before it was carefully hung at the Kodak by staffers wearing gloves.

Before making the curtain, which came from an idea that art director Greg Richman had after seeing "Dreamgirls," Swarovski did have a question: how often will it be used during the show? The company agreed to cooperate when Richman assured them that it'd be on display frequently, including many of the show's big moments…

It's still early to make many predictions about the show itself, but a few things are apparent:

The telecast will include lots of film, but most of it won't be the usual Oscar montages.

Ellen DeGeneres will be a very active host.

The order of the awards will not be as predictable as usual. Sure, everybody knows the ones that'll be handed out at the end of the evening-but before that, other key categories will be distributed less predictably than usual.

The dance company Pilobolus will play a significant role in the evening, though not in the way that dance troupes are usually used at the Oscars.

And if the length of the show is a tie-breaker question in your Oscar pool, it'd probably be wise to guess long. Ziskin, always a font of ideas when it comes to the Oscars, has put together an event that staffers are guessing will be considerably longer than the three-and-a-half hour shows of the past two years.

Finally, the Oscar poster, and those billboards around town, aren't the only places where famous movie quotes are being showcased. On the outside of the green room, the backstage sanctuary for the stars that at the moment is still being decorated, a long banner hangs. On the banner is a quote from "All About Eve" that may be a joke, or it may be a prediction.


Thursday, February 22, 2007

OSCARS: I Pick Who Should Win!


Best Picture:
1. The Queen
2. The Departed
3. Babel
4. Little Miss Sunshine
Not Seen: Letters From Iwo Jima

Best Directing:
1. Martin Scorsese - The Departed
2. Paul Greengrass - United 93
3. Stephen Frears - The Queen
4. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - Babel
NS: Clint Eastwood - Letters From Iwo Jima

Best Actor:
1. Ryan Gosling - Half Nelson
2. Forest Whitaker - The Last King of Scotland
3. Will Smith - The Pursuit of Happyness
NS: Leonardo Dicaprio (Blood Diamond) & Peter O'Toole (Venus)

Best Actress:
1. Helen Mirren - The Queen
2. Judi Dench - Notes on a Scandal
3. Meryl Streep - The Devil Wears Prada (this is supporting, and she should WIN there)
4. Penelope Cruz - Volver
5. Kate Winslet - Little Children

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Jackie Earle Haley - Little Children
2. Eddie Murphy - Dreamgirls
3. Mark Wahlberg - The Departed
4. Alan Arkin - Little Miss Sunshine
NS: Djimon Hounsou (Blood Diamond)
I really don't mind anyone winning here. Arkin is a great actor and he was very fun. Mark Wahlberg has inspired me with the picture above and is quite a good actor sometimes. Eddie Murphy is the best thing about Dreamgirls. But Haley is the best here.

Best Supporting Actress:
(This is a waste of a category. In all honesty, none of them deserve it.)
1. Rinko Kikuchi - Babel
2. Cate Blanchett - Notes on a Scandal
3. Abigail Breslin - Little Miss Sunshine
4. Adriana Barraza - Babel
5. Jennifer Hudson - Dreamgirls

Original Screenplay:
1. The Queen
2. Little Miss Sunshine
3. Babel
NS: Letters From Iwo Jima & Pan's Labyrinth

Adapted Screenplay:
1. The Departed
2. Notes on a Scandal
3. Children of Men
4. Little Children
5. Borat

Art Direction:
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
2. The Prestige
3. Dreamgirls
NS: The Good Shepherd & Pan's Labyrinth

1. Children of Men
2. The Illusionist
3. The Black Dahlia
4. The Prestige
NS: Pan's Labyrinth

Costume Design:
1. Marie Antoinette
2. Dreamgirls
3. The Devil Wears Prada
4. The Queen
NS: Curse of the Golden Flower

Film Editing:
1. The Departed
2. United 93
3. Children of Men
4. Babel
NS: Blood Diamond

Original Score:
1. The Queen
2. Notes on a Scandal
3. Babel
NS: The Good German, Pan's Labyrinth

Original Song:
1. Love You I Do
2. Listen
3. Our Town
4. Patience
5. I Need to Wake Up

Sound Mixing:
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
2. Dreamgirls
3. Flags of Our Fathers

Visual Effects:
1. Superman Returns
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
3. Poseidon

And who are you rooting for?


Here goes....

(The percentages are based on what I think the chances are of winning. The closer the numbers, the tighter the competition.)

1. The Departed - 25%
2. Little Miss Sunshine - 24%
3. Babel - 22%
4. The Queen - 19%
5. Letters From Iwo Jima - 10%

The Departed won the DGA and the BFCA Best Picture. But if they really loved the film, wouldn't it have also gotten easy nominations for Jack and Leo? Little Miss Sunshine has the most precursors: WGA, SAG & PGA - which would normally equal a victory. But it does not have a director or editing nom, two very important things to getting Best Picture. Driving Miss Daisy is the last film to win Best Picture with no director nod. Ordinary People is the last to win without an editing nom. And let's face it: if Brokeback couldn't win without an editing nomination, will Sunshine do it? (I may have just jinxed myself.) Only two Pic nominees have editing nominations: Departed and Babel. Babel seems very popular in the industry, but along with the Iwo Jima, has horrible box office. The Queen has the BAFTA and Dame Mirren, but some see it as nothing more than a glossy TV movie (to which I say FUCK THEM!) So, in the end, I think they'll finally give Marty an Oscar, and the film. But watch out, 3 films are riding behind, and close.

1. Martin Scorsese - 45%
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - 20%
3. Stephen Frears - 13%
4. Clint Eastwood - 12%
5. Paul Greengrass - 10%

I'd say Marty has this locked up, but they seem to not like him much. Then again, he's won every major Best Director prize (except BAFTA, of which he already has a few). Let's just say Eastwood getting another award would probably lead to an equally large backlash as last year's Crashlash.

1. Forest Whitaker - 34%
2. Peter O'Toole - 31%
3. Leonardo Dicaprio - 18%
4. Ryan Gosling - 12%
5. Will Smith - 5%

Nuff said.

1. Helen Mirren - 55%
2. Meryl Streep - 17%
3. Judi Dench - 15%
4. Penelope Cruz - 8%
5. Kate Winslet - 4%

Just declare her the actual queen and get it over with. Mirren, next to Scorsese, will be the night's most deserving winner.

1. Alan Arkin - 30%
2. Eddie Murphy - 29%
3. Jackie Earle Haley - 20%
4. Mark Wahlberg - 19%
5. Djimon Hounsou - 2%

So this is fucked. This has been one of the first categories in the past couple of years, so if Wahlberg does win, I'd say Departed clean sweeps. Arkin winning could be a great sign for Sunshine, but Murphy winning would probably kill its chances. I went with Alan because he's a vet, Eddie has pissed off a lot of people, and it's very hard for a non-Picture nominee to win both supporting categories.

1. Jennifer Hudson - 40%
2. Abigail Breslin - 17%
3. Rinko Kikuchi - 16%
4. Cate Blanchett - 14%
5. Adriana Barraza - 13%

Breslin or one of the Babel ladies winning would equal a Best Picture win for their film. Hudson still has the edge. This is a shit category by the way.

1. Little Miss Sunshine - 30%
2. Babel - 28%
3. The Queen - 26%
4. Pan's Labyrinth - 10%
5. Letters From Iwo Jima - 6%

Popularity over quality will lead to Sunshine winning here. Babel could make it in because of those people who think it is important.

1. The Departed - 45%
2. Borat - 16%
3. Notes on a Scandal - 15%
4. Children of Men - 14%
5. Little Children - 10%

This should be an easy victory for The Departed. I gave Borat runner up status because I get the feeling they love Sacha more than we think. That Globe speech was dynamite.

The rest:
ART DIRECTION: Pan's Labyrinth


COSTUME DESIGN: Marie Antoinette
(Though I'm not betting against Curse of the Golden Flower)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: An Inconvenient Truth

FILM EDITING: The Departed
(If Babel does win, it wins Best Picture.)


MAKEUP: Pan's Labyrinth

ORIGINAL SCORE: The Queen (another tough category)

ORIGINAL SONG: Another toughie - could the Dreamgirls songs cancel each out. Perhaps. The Melissa Etheridge song is one of her worst, but in an important film, but I'll go with Randy Newman's Cars song pulling a surprise victory.

SOUND EDITING: Hmm...umm...Letters From Iwo Jima?

SOUND MIXING: Dreamgirls

VISUAL EFFECTS: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Box Office Predix: Feb. 23 - 25

Best Picture Nominees:

Babel - $.4m / $33.8m
The Departed - $.24m / $131.84m
Letters From Iwo Jima - $.75m / $12.85m
Little Miss Sunshine - $.014m / $59.8m
The Queen - $1.1m / $52.9m

Top 10:
1. Ghost Rider - $19m / $79m / $120m
2. Reno 911: Miami - $15m / $15m / $42m
3. Bridge to Terabithia - $14.5m / $47.5m / $85m
4. The Number 23 - $14m / $14m / $36m
5. Norbit - $9m / $74m / $95m
6. Music and Lyrics - $8m / $32m / $50m
7. The Astronaut Farmer - $7m / $7m / $22m
8. Breach - $6.5m / $21m / $37m
9. Daddy's Little Girls - $5m / $25.5m / $36m
10. Amazing Grace - $3m / $3m / $10m

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Countdown to OSCAR! - The best of the rest of the award shows...

American Society of Cinematographers:
"Children of Men" - Emmanuel Lubezki
So deserving!

ACE Eddie Awards:
Best Edited Feature Film - Drama: (tie) "Babel" & "The Departed"
Best Edited Feature Film - Comedy/Musical: "Dreamgirls"
Umm, except Departed, are you kidding?

Art Directors Guild:
"Curse of the Golden Flower" - Period Film
"Pan's Labyrinth" - Fantasy Film
"Casino Royale" - Contemporary Film

Costume Designers Guild:
"Curse of the Golden Flower" - Period Film
"Pan's Labyrinth" - Fantasy Film
"The Queen" - Contemporary Film

The Queen over The Devil Wears Prada???

Cinema Audio Society:

International Online Cinema Awards (INOCAS) - I VOTE FOR THESE!!!

Best Picture: Children of Men
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Children of Men
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Best Actress: Helen Mirren, The Queen
Best Supporting Actor: Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Best Ensemble: The Departed
Best Non-English Language Film: Pan’s Labyrinth
Best Animated Feature: A Scanner Darkly
Best Original Screenplay: The Queen
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Departed
Best Cinematography: Children of Men
Best Editing: United 93
Best Art Direction: Children of Men
Best Costume Design: Marie Antoinette
Best Original Score: The Painted Veil
Best Original Song: “You Know My Name”, Casino Royale
Best Sound Mixing: Children of Men
Best Sound Editing: Children of Men
Best Visual Effects: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest
Best Makeup: Pan’s Labyrinth

Writers Guild Award:
Original Screenplay - Little Miss Sunshine
Adapted Screenplay - The Departed

Best Film: The Queen
Best British Film: The Last King of Scotland
Best Director: Paul Greengrass
Best Actor: Forest Whitaker
Best Actress: Helen Mirren
Best Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Last King of Scotland
Original Screenplay: Little Miss Sunshine (beating The Queen!)
Animated: Happy Feet
Editing: United 93
Visual Effects: Pirates 2
Original Score: Babel
Best Sound: Casino Royale
Best Foreign Film: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Makeup: Pan's Labyrinth
Best Costume: Pan's Labyrinth

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Box Office Predix: Feb. 16 - 18

1. Ghost Rider - $27m / $27m / $68m
2. Norbit - $18m / $61m / $100m
3. Music and Lyrics - $15m / $25m / $55m
4. Bridge To Terabithia - $15m / $15m / $55m
5. Daddy's Little Girls - $12m / $19m / $34m
6. Hannibal Rising - $5.5m / $22.5m / $33m
7. Because I Said So - $5.5m / $34m / $45m
8. The Messengers - $3.5m / $30m / $36m
9. Night at the Museum - $3.5m / $237m / $246m
10. Breach - $3m / $3m / $8m

Wednesday, February 07, 2007

Box Office Predix: Feb. 9 - 11

1. Norbit - $25m / $25m / $74m
2. Hannibal Rising - $14m / $14m / $38m
3. Because I Said So - $7.5m / $24.5m / $40m
4. The Messengers - $7m / $25m / $37m
5. Night at the Museum - $4.5m / $231m / $242m
6. Epic Movie - $4m / $35m / $43m
7. Dreamgirls - $3m / $97m / $106m
8. Smokin Aces - $3m / $30m / $36m
9. Pan's Labyrinth - $3m / $26m / $40m
10. Stomp the Yard - $2.5m / $59.5m / $65m

Monday, February 05, 2007

TO: Laura Ziskin. RE: Oscar Presenters

You did the right thing getting Ellen. Degeneres has stated in an interview that they aren't going to cutting winners off with music (or like last year's debacle: playing music as the winners talk). Smart move #2. The first four presenters have been released in press relesaes:

From the Oscar website:

George Clooney, Cameron Diaz, Eva Green, Hugh Jackman

All good.

There's numerous other people who are rumored to have been added but not yet confirmed: Jennifer Connelly, Daniel Craig, Kirsten Dunst, Jodie Foster, among others. Apparently Robert De Niro, Clint Eastwood and Warren Beatty are presenting the award to Ennio Morricone. That would be cool. I've also heard that Monica Belluci will be translating for him, which seems almost too odd to be false? Also, given Laura Ziskin is producing Spider-Man 3, I also expect some more people from that film to show up.

And of course, last year's remaining winners - Hoffman, Witherspoon and Weisz - will no doubt be back.

Anywho, here are my suggestions for people I would love to see present:

Michelle Pfeiffer - first and foremost. My 2nd favorite actress has 3 big movies coming out this year. Get her up on stage.

Anne Hathaway - see SAGs to see what I mean.

Sacha Baron Cohen - as himself. Sexy and funny.

Leonardo Dicaprio & Kate Winslet - you missed the chance two years ago to get the stars of the biggest film of all time to present together the year they were nominated together. Now they are nominated again in the same year. I'm sure it'll happen again, though.

Salma Hayek - after the great emotion she showed announcing the nominees, bring her back.

Oprah Winfrey - you know she's going to be there anyways.

Emily Blunt - as if you didn't see this coming. Looking for the usual hot piece of ass ingenue to do the Sci/Tech ceremony? Here it is.

Clive Owen & Cate Blanchett - stars of The Golden Age. Well, Clive would be fine. Clive is fine. Let him present in his underwear. He doesn't even have to present. He can just stand there. Actually, cancel Blanchett and replace her with Chris Evans. On stage, together, in their briefs.

Jane Fonda & Lindsay Lohan - stars of Georgia Rule. This is a great pairing, and they apparently really like each other. Plus, I want to see Lohan at her first big award show.

Amy Poehler as Dakota Fanning - have her present the Visual Effects category - "I'm not familiar with any of these films" - and then glare at Abigail Breslin for awhile.

Oh, and for the love of god, bring back some of the campy stuff. Not like the past couple of years where Beyonce butchers a French song, or the nominees line up on stage, or people present in the middle of the theatre, or the music in the background. I'm talking Costume Design fashion shows, bears on stage for no reason, and freaky Cirque Du Soleil guys dancing as Jennifer Connelly holds her Oscar trying not to get trampled on. Last year's Zombie-Crash number was close!

Sunday, February 04, 2007


Directors Guild of America:

From Variety:
"The Directors Guild of America has selected Martin Scorsese as winner of its top feature trophy for his work on the gangster thriller "The Departed."
It was first victory in seven DGA nominations for Scorsese, who topped Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for "Babel," Bill Condon for "Dreamgirls," Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris for "Little Miss Sunshine" and Stephen Frears for "The Queen."

The award, announced Saturday night in ceremonies at the Century Plaza Hotel, places Scorsese as a front-runner for the Best Director Oscar. The DGA winner, based on voting by 13,400 Guild members, has matched the Oscar winner in 52 of its 58 awards, including last year when Ang Lee won both for "Brokeback Mountain."

Scorsese now faces Frears and Inarritu for the Oscar along with Clint Eastwood for "Letters From Iwo Jima" and Paul Greengrass for "United 93." It's his sixth Oscar directing nomination along with "Raging Bull," "The Last Temptation of Christ," "Good Fellas" "Gangs of New York" and "The Aviator."

"The Departed" has taken in the highest gross among the nominated films with $127 million domestically and nearly $270 million worldwide. Scorsese won the Golden Globe for Best director three weeks ago; since then, "Little Miss Sunshine" won both the top feature film awards from the PGA and SAG.

Scorsese's previous DGA nominations were for "The Aviator," "Gangs of New York," "The Age of Innocence," "Goodfellas," "Raging Bull" and "Taxi Driver." He won the DGA's Lifetime Achievement Award in 2003."

Screen Actors Guild Awards:

Ensemble (Film) - Little Miss Sunshine
Male Actor - Forest Whitaker
Female Actor - Helen Mirren
Supporting Male Actor - Eddie Murphy
Supporting Female Actor - Jennifer Hudson

(Ugh, this is going to be the Worst Oscars ever if that lineup sticks, given none of them can make a great speech and they all seem slightly bored - or far too intimidated - with the awards.)

Ensemble (TV/Drama) - Grey's Anatomy
Ensemble (TV/Comedy) - THE OFFICE!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Male Actor (TV/Drama) - Hugh Laurie
Female Actor (TV/Drama) - Chandra Wilson (BEST SPEECH OF THE NIGHT!)
Male Actor (TV/Comedy) - Alec Baldwin ("What am I? A farmer?")
Female Actor (TV/Comedy) - America Ferrera (so adorable!)
Male Actor (Minseries/TV Movie) - Jeremy Irons
Female Actor (Miniseries/TV Movie) - Helen Mirren


#1 - MARISKA HARGITAY - So if you know me, you probably know I don't care much for Mariska. But I love her here. She's wearing Carolina Herrera, cuz Renee couldn't?

#2 - ANNE HATHAWAY - Okay, get her to present an Oscar. Seriously. The girl can speak in public very eloquently and she looks like the best of movie stars here.

#3 - FELICITY HUFFMAN - Apparently lots of people don't like this as they say it makes her look like she's coming from a funeral? But I LOOOVE it. The shoes, too. Such a nice alternate to all the pedestrian white dresses at the Globes. But I love my Huffman!

Oh, and while Rachel McAdams' rather short dress was questionable, she's still one of the most gorgeous women on the planet. And I totally love the pink streaks.

Thursday, February 01, 2007

Box Office Predix - Feb. 2 - 4

1. The Messengers - $14m / $14m / $36m
2. Because I Said So - $10m / $10m / $30m
3. Epic Movie - $8.5m / $30m / $45m
4. Smokin Aces - $7.5m / $26.5m / $40m
5. Night at the Museum - $7m / $225.5m / $242m
6. Stomp the Yard - $5.5m / $57.5m / $69m
7. Dreamgirls - $5m / $93.5m / $110m
8. Catch and Release - $5m / $14m / $24m
9. Pan's Labyrinth - $4m / $22m / $40m
10. The Queen - $3.5m / $46m / $65m